Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.017003 9.028832 10.232418 11.804916 13.863609 16.562697 20.559269
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.611018 9.127493 11.169234 14.302099 19.421675 28.627734 51.529801
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.693334 8.353346 10.781047 14.981639 23.319687 44.774056 199.381019
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.302713 8.222314 11.313528 17.564297 34.388507 139.599340 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.867247 7.939241 11.565965 20.103535 53.890583 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.278918 7.298449 11.017906 20.717821 74.863268 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.733423 6.637674 10.267368 20.459938 98.990411 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.612615 6.700593 11.049071 26.156585 1183.120905 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.670728 7.119313 12.918868 42.662192 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.524929 7.112518 13.804037 62.813927 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.322856 6.948237 14.207033 90.422900 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.093142 6.680272 14.180918 124.562709 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.808932 6.291858 13.773053 171.940682 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.635413 6.134340 14.212557 575.077134 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.311614 5.561097 12.715901 349.111801 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.141730 5.341582 12.639078 1508.127045 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.967160 5.082888 12.287140 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.750825 4.690949 11.193570 3546.804071 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.546836 4.310887 10.074079 571.894829 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.484824 4.279093 10.503153 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.485508 4.409117 11.850580 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.421813 4.358333 12.280375 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.341210 4.248843 12.320199 NaN NaN NaN NaN